Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 7.555090 8.390970 9.326639 10.460923 11.811517 13.384703 15.380659
2025-01-19 6.121619 7.176706 8.460585 10.172006 12.449023 15.461776 19.913430
2025-01-26 5.401116 6.556001 8.040750 10.154414 13.205103 17.666241 25.176571
2025-02-02 5.169644 6.478247 8.249326 10.937063 15.152427 22.023802 35.520094
2025-02-09 4.900049 6.294938 8.261336 11.406454 16.704418 26.240944 48.096036
2025-02-16 4.570166 5.979455 8.027425 11.437611 17.517976 29.412035 60.799251
2025-02-23 4.372598 5.826991 8.006776 11.791954 18.967228 34.391497 82.899583
2025-03-02 4.032404 5.428546 7.557432 11.343652 18.783169 35.725976 95.619358
2025-03-09 3.770067 5.125300 7.226642 11.052727 18.846266 37.691330 113.586925
2025-03-16 3.571145 4.903222 7.004151 10.923533 19.216567 40.628458 141.318798
2025-03-23 3.486453 4.851641 7.055471 11.307912 20.807208 47.858642 213.030453
2025-03-30 3.284203 4.597976 6.741344 10.941964 20.568700 49.336700 252.303667
2025-04-06 3.061356 4.312727 6.376654 10.487598 20.166926 50.647870 306.091362
2025-04-13 2.879985 4.086817 6.102915 10.196464 20.154404 53.631529 410.953440
2025-04-20 2.757495 3.948713 5.970995 10.178766 20.858289 60.098635 681.065573
2025-04-27 2.754209 4.007977 6.198507 10.964237 24.069039 81.787418 3265.269750
2025-05-04 2.707340 3.988541 6.277254 11.435370 26.588030 105.295515 162994.485463
2025-05-11 2.613149 3.879829 6.174824 11.466644 27.714118 122.833631 NaN
2025-05-18 2.560933 3.841167 6.204304 11.822327 30.153840 158.577128 NaN
2025-05-25 2.431072 3.655955 5.927846 11.372333 29.429432 162.595538 NaN
2025-06-01 2.326223 3.510746 5.722235 11.080327 29.256086 173.538733 NaN
2025-06-08 2.244455 3.403260 5.585575 10.950658 29.713489 195.102727 NaN
2025-06-15 2.215394 3.390166 5.640631 11.336460 32.538491 269.187166 NaN